compliance tooling keeps surprising consensus on hedging demand: reading the Nomura explores tape
Most blow-ups start as comfortable consensus.
Historically, stretches where restaking leads without support from cold storage trends invite sharper reversals.
Even when feeds obsess over “Nomura explores sale of crypto unit Laser Digital: Bloomberg,” the durable question remains process versus prediction.
In practice, restaking and cold storage trends interact before price fully reflects either one.
Ignoring market makers because RWA tokenization looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
Ignoring developer activity because user retention looks exciting is how late-cycle mistakes compound.
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