exchange reserves is rotating through treasury policy

Treat rate-cut expectations as the constraint and institutional desks as the amplifier, not the other way around.
When books are thin, narratives look stronger than they are.
That debate sits next to today’s market focus around “Here’s what happened in crypto today.”
If exchange reserves deteriorates while compliance tooling looks fine, the tape often turns defensive first.
If miner behavior deteriorates while Bitcoin looks fine, the tape often turns defensive first.
For operators, process beats prediction when the tape is noisy.
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